Coulter’s Flawed Calculus

Coulter claims, “I’m always right.”[1] Hardly, especially when it comes to political prognostication.

Remember her nine-year love affair with Mitt Romney, briefly interrupted with her infatuation with Chris Christie? In 2011, she predicted, “If we don’t nominate Chris Christie, Romney is going to be the nominee and we’ll lose.”[2] Later that same year, she reversed course, claiming, “I think the candidate, it is going to be and is the strongest candidate to beat Obama is Mitt Romney. … I think hands down that is Mitt Romney.”[3]

CoulterCalculus

Until this July, Coulter has championed, “Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney. … We have to demand that he run.”[4]

Now, Coulter worships at the altar of a new political savior, asserting, “the people want [Trump] to be president.”[5]

Coulter has indeed linked her book tour to a Trump candidacy,[6] extoling him (and herself) in the process – and even defending his defamation of American war heroes.[7]

According to the Washington Examiner, Coulter would even welcome being part of Trump’s cabinet: “I see myself as his secretary of Homeland Security.”

A recent interview with Sean Hannity demonstrates how politically out-of-touch Coulter remains. She repeatedly said that she did not believe the facts that her friend, Sean, was telling her – that Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and Rick Perry had pledged not to run a third party candidacy. Her reasoning for calling her friend a liar? Because those candidates would neither be asked that question nor give that answer.

Denial of reality. Further, when asked what she thought of a third party run by Donald Trump, she punted, suggesting she might favor it because, “I promise you Jeb or Rubio are going to lead to a Hillary presidency.”[8]

Her reasoning appears to be that if either Bush or Rubio is the GOP nominee, Republicans lose, so it would not matter if Trump ran against the GOP. Coulter has seemingly forgotten about the ill-fated Ross Perot run in 2992 that led to a Bill Clinton victory over the first Bush presidency.

Coulter assumes that Hillary Clinton will be the Democrat nominee.

Coulter assumes that either Jeb Bush or Marco Rubio will be the GOP nominee (if Trump is not).

Coulter assumes that either Bush or Rubio would lose to Hillary.

All three assumptions are questionable.

Just this week, a Quinnipiac poll showed Hillary to be in jeopardy to both Bush and Rubio:

“Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is behind or on the wrong side of a too-close-to-call result in matchups with three leading Republican contenders, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker in Colorado, Iowa and Virginia, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.”

Hillary “star power” continues to decline, especially when confronted with specific (as opposed to generic) GOP candidates.

As Jonah Goldberg observes, “Donald Trump stakes much of his fortune on the alleged value of the Trump brand. Hillary Clinton’s candidacy rests on a similar assumption about the Clinton name. Both fail to take into account the fact that personality trumps brand.”

For Coulter, brand is all that matters. Only image counts. Integrity and veracity are disposable commodities in Coulter’s world. Hence, her many failures.[9]

When Coulter is consistently wrong on the same subject, why do people listen to her?

Update: As it turns out, Trump is already threatening a third party run.

Endnotes:

[1]               Ann Coulter, Good Day, LA, KTTV, 3/17/15.

[2]               Ann Coulter, CPAC, 2/16/11.

[3]               Ann Coulter, Hannity, FNC, 11/15/11.

[4]               Ann Coulter, Boston Herald Drive, 6/4/15.

[5]               Ann Coulter, Alan Colmes Show, Fox News, 7/10/15.

[6]               See “Coulter Trumped Up” at http://wp.me/p4jHFp-7Q.

[7]               See “Coulter Defames American War Heroes” at http://wp.me/p4jHFp-81.

[8]               Ann Coulter, Hannity, FNC, 7/20/15.

[9]               See “Coulter Discovers RINOs will be … RINOs” at http://wp.me/p4jHFp-56.

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